Science · Guess the stat

How well do you know the data behind polls?

Guess the real numbers behind how polls are measured, see how everyone else guessed, and get the source.

Guess the statOne tap · see how everyone guessed

By 2018, what share of people contacted actually completed a typical U.S. telephone survey?

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Today's round

  • 4 stats to guess
  • 1 opinion poll
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Guess, see the crowd, get the real number. One ranked attempt per day.

Poll by the numbers

Real figures with their sources. All Poll facts →

±4 percentage points

A standard Gallup poll of 1,000 U.S. adults typically has about what margin of error?

Gallup's routine national polls interview about 1,000 adults; a much larger sample would be needed to shrink the margin of error further.

Source: Gallup (2024) news.gallup.com

about 3.4 billion

Around 2019, about how many robocalls were placed to U.S. phone numbers every month?

Pew Research pointed to the flood of robocalls as a major reason people screen calls and ignore legitimate survey researchers.

Source: Pew Research Center (2019) pewresearch.org

about 60,000 households

The U.S. Current Population Survey, the source of the monthly unemployment rate, samples about how many households?

The Census Bureau conducts this survey monthly, and its sample design was most recently redesigned in 2014.

Source: Wikipedia (Current Population Survey) (2014) en.wikipedia.org

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Questions

How does PollPoints.com work?

Each question asks you to guess a real number about the data points and methodology behind how polls are measured. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

How is the daily round scored?

Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

Where do the numbers come from?

Every stat links to its source, such as government statistics agencies, research organizations and industry groups. Figures are checked against the source before they go live.

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